Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella has challenged typical definitions of synthetic common intelligence (AGI), arguing that true AGI ought to be measured by financial progress fairly than AI developments alone. Nadella stated that the main target ought to be on broader financial impression fairly than self-proclaimed AI breakthroughs.
“For those who’re going to have this explosion or abundance…of intelligence out there, the very first thing we now have to look at is GDP progress,” stated Nadella in a current interview with Dwarkesh Patel. “Earlier than I get to what Microsoft’s income will appear to be, there’s just one governor in all of this. That is the place we get just a little forward of ourselves with all this AGI hype.”
He added that present financial progress charges within the developed world stay low, at round 2%, and inflation-adjusted figures would stay near zero. In accordance with Nadella, the true benchmark for AGI’s success ought to be international financial progress reaching 10%.
“Us self-claiming some AGI milestone, that’s simply nonsensical benchmark hacking to me,” he stated. “The true benchmark is the world GDP rising at 10%.”
Nadella stated that the first beneficiaries of AI developments won’t be tech corporations however industries utilizing AI to drive productiveness.
“The massive winners right here are usually not going to be tech corporations. The winners are going to be the broader trade that makes use of this commodity,” he stated. “All of the sudden, productiveness goes up, and the economic system is rising at a quicker price. When that occurs, we’ll be superb as an trade.”
Drawing a comparability to previous technological revolutions, Nadella stated that AI ought to drive important financial progress much like the Industrial Revolution.
“After we say that is just like the Industrial Revolution, let’s have that Industrial Revolution sort of progress,” he stated. “Which means to me, 10%, 7%, developed world, inflation-adjusted, rising at 5%. That’s the true marker. It will possibly’t simply be supply-side.”
Microsoft lately launched Majorana 1, the world’s first quantum chip utilizing topological qubits, together with Muse, a generative AI mannequin for gameplay ideation. The tech large additionally made Azure AI Foundry Labs out there – a hub the place builders, startups, and enterprises can discover Microsoft’s newest AI analysis and improvements. It offers entry to experimental AI fashions, agentic frameworks, and instruments that speed up the transition from analysis to real-world purposes.
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