AI is making progress at the speed of light with daily breakthroughs. So, how does one keep track of what the future holds? The best shot at answering pressing questions like this is to dive into the minds of the brilliant visionaries who hold the future in their hands.
We’ve carefully curated a list of the best writings, essays, blogs, and tabloids that provide a clear pathway into the thought processes, predictions, and opinions of the most influential minds in the AI world today. Here it goes:
Sam Altman: The Intelligence Age
There’s no better way to start than by reading the thoughts of the man himself. OpenAI CEO Sam Altman’s most recent essay is titled ‘The Intelligence Age’. It’s a quick read on what the future holds, where Altman shares his vision of how humans interact with machines.
“How did we get to the doorstep of the next leap in prosperity?
In three words: Deep learning worked.
In 15 words: Deep learning worked, got predictably better with scale, and we dedicated increasing resources to it.”
Dario Amodei: Machines of Loving Grace
In the AI community, Dario Amodei, co-founder and CEO of Anthropic, regularly asserts the importance of safety and the possible dangers of AI. However, in his essay titled ‘Machines of Loving Grace’, Amodei presents his view on the positive impact AI can have in the future.
He begins by justifying that Anthropic is more vocal about the risks in AI because the upsides are quite obvious. “On the other hand, the risks are not predetermined, and our actions can greatly change their likelihood,” says Amodei.
It’s a great read for anyone interested in knowing the upsides of artificial intelligence from someone who is mostly vocal about its risks, and dangers. You’re in for a treat if you seek a balanced dialogue as Amodei dives deep into how AI can shape healthcare, economics, governance, neuroscience, and human work.
Vinod Khosla: AI–Dystopia or Utopia?
Over the past few years, we’ve had several questions about the future of humanity in the long run. Will humanity lose control of AI? Or will we reach the promised land? In a 13,510-word essay, Vinod Khosla, a venture capitalist and one of OpenAI’s early backers, offers his perspective and explores both the dystopian and utopian views of AI. If the word count intimidates you, there’s also a ‘TLDR’ version of around 3,000 words.
If you’re looking for a single piece of writing from an industry leader offering comprehensive opinions and perspectives on AI, look no further. More importantly, Khosla offers a unique view of how communities will adopt AI and how one can build a livelihood in the age of powerful machines.
He also argues about some of the overstated risk predictions in AI yet outlines possible harm humans may undergo.
“The grand ambition of imparting the rich lifestyle enjoyed by only 700 million (~10%) people to all 7-8 billion global citizens, is finally within arm’s reach. It would be patently impossible to scale the energy, resources, healthcare, transportation, enterprise, and professional services 10x without AI.”
Paul Graham: Write and Write Nots
Y Combinator’s co-founder Paul Graham may not exactly be in the AI limelight today, but if there’s anyone who has had a significant impact on the birth of OpenAI, it’s him. Interestingly, Graham appointed Sam Altman as the president of Y Combinator, and the rest is history.
However, Graham does get tremendous credit for his writing online. In his latest essay, he offers a prediction on the future of writing. He writes about what kind of writers will thrive despite the existence of AI and who won’t make the cut.
“I’m usually reluctant to make predictions about technology, but I feel fairly confident about this one: in a couple decades, there won’t be many people who can write.”
Graham’s other essay, titled ‘How to do Great Work’, is also worth a mention. It provides tremendous insights into finding meaningful work, and what kind of jobs throw at you the best odds of success.
Marc Andreessen: The Techno Optimist Manifesto
Marc Andreessen was one of the first to jump onto the internet bandwagon. As founder and general partner at a16z, he’s invested in numerous generative AI startups. His piece, ‘The Techno Optimist Manifesto,’ offers an optimistic view of the future.
Andreessen puts forth several arguments, contrary to the popular opinion which indicates that AI will cause ‘mass unemployment’, and put humanity in great danger, leaving everyone under the tyranny of robots.
Although written a few months ago, it still offers relevant perspectives from someone like Andreessen, who has been an important part of the digital revolution of the modern world, spanning from the web browser, crypto and now generative AI.
“A common critique of technology is that it removes choice from our lives as machines make decisions for us. This is undoubtedly true, yet more than offset by the freedom to create our lives that flows from the material abundance created by our use of machines.”
Superagency: Reid Hoffman
Reid Hoffman, the co-founder of LinkedIn and of current interest in the AI world, is the founder of Inflection AI. His blog post on LinkedIn titled Superagency answers crucial questions about AI assuming agency in the near future.
“If smartphones didn’t exist and were suddenly proposed today, imagine the headlines:
“Big Tech to Release Device That Tracks Your Every Move”
“New Gadget Aims to Capture All Your Personal Data”
“Constant Connectivity: The End of Privacy as We Know It?””
Stephen Wolfram: Can AI Solve Science?
Stephen Wolfram, the CEO and founder of Wolfram, changed the course of mathematics and computational research in the 21st century. As a mathematician, physicist, and computer scientist, his essay titled “Can AI Solve Science”, explores the potential of AI in scientific research and discovery.
He dives deep into whether AI can go beyond using computation to achieve results based on prediction and patterns, and if it can achieve parity with humans in scientific reasoning, narratives and explanations.
“What if all we ever want to know about are things that align with computational reducibility? A lot of science—and technology—has been constructed specifically around computationally reducible phenomena. And that’s for example why things like mathematical formulas have been able to be as successful in science as they have.”
Max Tegmark: Provably Safe Systems
Max Tegmark, the founder and president of Future of Life Institute, is popular for voicing concerns over AI safety. The institute strives to develop disruptive technologies like AI while distancing itself from the risks and dangers involved.
In a research paper titled Provably Safe Systems, Tegmark describes what he calls the “The only path to controllable AGI”. Along with co-author Steve Omohundro, Tegmark outlines a pathway to AGI and suggests an interesting mathematical safety proof which considers hardware, software and the social systems.
“Is Alan Turing correct that we now “have to expect the machines to take control”? If AI safety research remains at current paltry levels, this seems likely. Considering the stakes, the AI safety effort is absurdly small in terms of both funding and the number of people.”
Yoshua Bengio: Reasoning Through Arguments against Taking AI Safety Seriously
Yoshua Bengio, along with Yann LeCun and Geoffrey Hinton, was a recipient of the prestigious Turing Award in 2018 for his contributions to deep learning.
In a blog post titled ‘Reasoning through arguments against taking AI safety seriously’, Bengio discusses his views on AI safety, its ‘catastrophic’ risks and what one can do to keep it under control. He also makes a few bold predictions as to when humanity will achieve AGI and ASI.
“Entities that are smarter than humans and that have their own goals: Are we sure they will act towards our well-being?”
Erik Horvitz: Ten Priorities for AI Research, Policy, and Practice
Erik Horvitz, the chief scientific officer of Microsoft, offers a set of directions and recommendations for policies and research on AI safety.
His research titled ‘Now, Later, and Lasting: Ten Priorities for AI Research, Policy, and Practice’ advises AI companies and researchers on how to mitigate adverse effects linked to the economy, employment, disinformation and regulation.
“We must lean in vigorously on the now and the soon to address both short- and long-term issues to shape the future of AI for the common good. We can learn from what has gone well and poorly in previous technological revolutions, as well as assess what is unique about this one.”
Leopold Aschenbrenner: Situational Awareness
Leopold Aschenbrenner is probably not a name you often encounter in the news, but his series of essays that dive deep into AI and its potential impacts on the future are a must-read. Aschenbrenner recently worked in the safety alignment team at OpenAI and is the founder of an investment firm that focuses on AGI.
He dedicates his writings titled ‘Situational Awareness: The Decade Ahead’ to Ilya Sutskever, a champion of AI safety. Aschenbrenner discusses the path and challenges towards machines achieving human level intelligence, the future of compute, resources, and geopolitics.
“Mainstream pundits are stuck on the willful blindness of “it’s just predicting the next word”. They see only hype and business-as-usual; at most, they entertain another internet-scale technological change.
“Before long, the world will wake up. But right now, there are perhaps a few hundred people, most of them in San Francisco and the AI labs, that have situational awareness.”
The post Top 11 Must-Read Pieces from AI Thought Leaders in 2024 appeared first on Analytics India Magazine.
