Hyperion Research Announces a 36.7% Increase in the HPC/AI Market Size

AI has changed everything, including HPC. A recent HPCwire article discussed how AI-augmented HPC is creating a large paradigm shift in many aspects of the market and community.

Supporting this shift, Hyperion Research announced today that it has updated its market sizing for the HPC (technical computing servers) market precipitated by AI’s unprecedented impact on the market. In addition to revenue from traditional HPC suppliers, revenue attributed to non-traditional HPC suppliers, often from non-traditional HPC buyers, is now included. These new types of servers are called “AI-centric Servers” in the figure and table below.

This change in scope increases the overall HPC server market growth rate from our January 2024 forecast to 36.7% in 2023 and is projected to add $13.6B by 2028. According to Earl Joseph, CEO of Hyperion Research:

As AI is being integrated into traditional HPC workflows, and HPC-class machines are being purchased to adopt AI into enterprise datacenter applications, we are seeing a great increase in new buyers and new suppliers that have entered the HPC market.

Figure 1: Worldwide HPC server market ($B) including revenue from traditional HPC suppliers and revenue attributed to non-traditional HPC suppliers. (Source: Hyperion)

The changes to the HPC market sizing and tracking are based on multiple surveys conducted over the last two years and represent a major adjustment to the overall HPC market, heavily driven by a combination of the use of AI, Large Language Models, and the purchases of large GPU/accelerator-based systems. HPC systems are used as the backbone for many AI and AI-related applications, which has driven the overall HPC market to a new level of growth.

Table 1: Data used for chart in Figure 1. Click for larger image. (Source: Hyperion)

Market Segment Definitions

Hyperion has provided updated market segmentation criteria.

AI-centric Servers (new revenues added to the previous HPC market sizing)

These are on-premises AI-centric HPC servers provided by non-traditional HPC suppliers like NVIDIA, Cerebras, SambaNova, SuperMicro, etc., frequently at non-traditional HPC user sites like large enterprise sites adding AI capabilities.

  • These servers are designed primarily to run AI and AI-related workloads.
  • These servers are a subsegment of the overall HPC market but haven’t historically been accounted for within prior HPC market numbers.

HPC & Advanced AI Servers (previously counted in the HPC market sizing)

These are on-premises servers that are used for highly computational or data-intensive tasks:

  • Hyperion Research uses the terms technical computing and high-performance computing (HPC) to encompass the entire market for computer servers used by scientists, engineers, analysts, and other groups using computationally and/or data-intensive modeling and simulation applications. An on-premises system primarily used for HPC workloads (at least 50%) can be referred to as an HPC/AI system or simply an HPC. These servers also include AI-centric servers used by traditional HPC end-users and are typically sold by traditional server vendors.
  • In addition to scientific and engineering applications, technical computing includes related markets/applications areas such as economic analysis, financial analysis, animation, server-based gaming, digital content creation and management, business intelligence modeling, and homeland security database applications.
  • Systems acquired by cloud service providers for the purpose of hosting cloud workloads are excluded, as Hyperion Research separately tracks spending for HPC usage in cloud environments.
  • The Advanced AI servers previously tracked are primarily sold by traditional HPC system vendors that go to traditional HPC sites.

Find More HPC/AI Discussions at the Fall HPC User Forum

The latest information and expert discussions on HPC and AI are part of the fall Hyperion Research HPC/AI User Forum. According to the agenda many topical HPC and AI talks will be presented including “The Future of AI” by Rick Stevens of ANL and a session on Real-world Large Scale AI Use Cases and Examples. The forum will be held at Argonne National Laboratory from September 4-5, 2024

About Hyperion Research

Hyperion Research is the premier industry analysis and market intelligence firm for high-performance computing (HPC) and associated emerging markets. Hyperion Research analysts provide timely, in-depth mission-critical insight across a broad portfolio of advanced computing market segments, including High-Performance Computing (HPC), Advanced Artificial Intelligence (AI), High-Performance Data Analysis (HPDA), Quantum Computing (QC), Cloud, and advanced technologies.

For close to 35 years, the industry analysts at Hyperion Research have been helping private, public, and government organizations make intelligent, fact-based decisions related to business impact and technology direction in the complex and competitive landscape of advanced computing and emerging technologies.

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