Gartner analysts have warned that the global agentic AI market is heading for a correction, as the supply of models, platforms and products now far exceeds enterprise demand. The research firm expects short-term consolidation as hype around agentic AI gives way to market realities.
According to Will Sommer, senior director analyst at Gartner, product leaders should view this as part of the normal product life cycle, not a signal of economic distress.
“Consolidation will enable industry leaders to develop agentic products that meet the technical and business requirements of customers who are presently struggling to adopt AI agents,” Sommer said in a press statement.
The analyst added that the correction is not comparable to speculative bubbles driven by financial manipulation or fraud. Instead, it reflects an adjustment to match genuine demand. However, Gartner cautioned that a bubble could still emerge if investment becomes disconnected from agentic AI’s real economic potential.
Large technology firms have already started acquiring smaller AI players, marking the beginning of this consolidation phase. Gartner expects that such mergers will create vertically integrated ecosystems capable of delivering better-performing, domain-specific AI models.
“Large providers will establish expansive, integrated ecosystems that significantly improve agentic performance,” Sommer said, adding that domain-specific language models are emerging as key innovations in this space.
Gartner expects the shakeout to strengthen the sector in the long run. As weaker players exit, remaining providers are likely to drive more efficient business models, accelerating the adoption of agentic products across industries.
Julie Sweet, CEO of Accenture, said while AI has captured executive mindshare faster than any recent technology, “value realisation has been underwhelming for many”. The company reported $8.9 billion in AI-related bookings since 2023 but cautioned that adoption at scale remains limited.
Analysts believe this signals a wider industry challenge. Indian IT firms, including TCS, Infosys, Wipro, HCL Technologies and Tech Mahindra, collectively lost nearly ₹1.36 lakh crore in market value last week, amid concerns that their AI strategies have yet to mature.
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